{"id":824,"date":"2016-11-14T20:23:27","date_gmt":"2016-11-15T04:23:27","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.luterra.com\/blog\/?p=824"},"modified":"2016-11-14T20:49:25","modified_gmt":"2016-11-15T04:49:25","slug":"trump-right-problem-wrong-solutions","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.luterra.com\/blog\/?p=824","title":{"rendered":"Trump: Right problem, wrong solutions"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">I am still struggling to come to terms with Trump\u2019s election last week.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>There is a part of me that would like to at least give him a chance to break the economic and political status quo, having been elected with a mandate to do so.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>There is another, perhaps more intelligent, part of me that sees him as the ultimate actor, honed by business and reality TV, pretending to overturn the status quo while carefully avoiding the roots of the problem.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">As I see it, the majority of the problems facing our country today \u2013 wage stagnation, spiraling costs of education and health care, increasing public and private indebtedness, declining quality and durability of goods, decaying infrastructure, increasing homelessness and joblessness, among others \u2013 can be traced to one simple reality.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>In short, the real economy of goods and services has stopped growing at a meaningful rate.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>This has many causes, but it can ultimately be traced back to resource limits, to the fact that human population is approaching (and probably exceeding, over the longer term) our planet\u2019s carrying capacity.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>It simply is not possible to continue producing more cars, refining more oil, allowing everyone to purchase bigger houses on more land.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>These limits alone could be dealt with; it is perfectly possible for humanity to meet its needs and have an acceptable standard of living in a steady-state economy.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">The major problem, or at least the one we can actually address, is that the upper class of society \u2013 the top 20% or so &#8211; continues to believe in economic growth and continues to see rising incomes.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>The \u201ctrickle down\u201d policies that supported increased wealth for the upper class on the basis that it would create rising incomes for everyone only work when the economy is growing.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>When the economy is stagnant or growing very slowly, as is true now and will be true for much of my lifetime as we face hard limits to growth, then the game becomes zero-sum.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>Increased wealth for the upper class means decreased wealth and loss of financial security for the middle and lower classes.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">Examples of this zero-sum game abound, but I will list a few of the more obvious ones:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Hospitals, medical professionals, and pharmaceutical companies continue to increase their rates well above the rate of inflation, knowing full well that most of their patients cannot afford these rate increases or the resulting hikes in insurance premiums.<\/li>\n<li>Universities continue to increase tuition at similar rates, providing both increased compensation and more jobs in their high-paying administrative roles.<\/li>\n<li>As investment returns decline (due to a stagnating economy), institutions dependent on endowments maintain their wages and wage growth by charging higher fees to students and clients.<\/li>\n<li>Governments borrow from future generations\u2019 Social Security and general funds to cover exorbitant medical costs for retirees.<\/li>\n<li>Quality of goods is gradually declining, so even if unit costs remain stable relative to inflation, overall costs increase as appliances, electronics, and household items must be replaced more frequently.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">Wages and financial security have been declining for most Americans for some time, but until this last election the political class managed to avoid the issue, focusing instead on distracting Americans with the traditional right vs. left platforms \u2013 the wrong problems.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>Ignorance is no longer possible, as a growing, angry populist movement is quickly becoming fed up with a government that fails to serve them.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>Bernie Sanders arose out of that movement, and so, most unfortunately, did the president-elect Donald Trump.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>I\u2019m not sure if Bernie could have defeated Trump, or if he really intended to work toward the right solutions.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>I\u2019m sure, however, that Trump has none of the right solutions in mind.<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">If the problem is growing economic inequality and insecurity in a stagnant economy, here are some of the wrong solutions:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Blame illegal immigrants.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>Illegal immigrants are not rapists, at least not any more than too many white men are rapists.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>They are people in this country looking for a better life.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>They are only here because the leaders of our zero-sum economic game have seen a benefit in employing labor at below minimum wage to enrich the upper classes, and the government has turned a blind eye to the practice.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>While it is true that the policy of employing illegal immigrants at illegal wages is driving wages down and putting American citizens out of work, the immigrants themselves are not to blame.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>If we change the policies allowing corporations to employ illegal workers without risk of prosecution, then the under-the-table jobs will dry up, the flow of illegal immigrants looking for a better life will decrease, and those already here will either seek citizenship to qualify for employment or else return to their countries of origin with whatever resources they have accumulated so far.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>This can be done with compassion for the individuals affected, to be sure that true refugees and asylum-seekers are given assistance to become citizens and to make it clear that policies, rather than people living in poverty, are to blame.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Focus on \u201cradical Islamic terrorism.\u201d<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>Whatever name we choose to give it, terrorist acts carried out by followers of Islam are a problem, borne out of decades of intervention and \u201ccollateral damage\u201d in the homeland of Islam and a religious doctrine that justifies martyrdom and religious violence \u2013 no different than some past crusades of Christianity.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>The size of this problem is, however, very small: so small as to be a distraction from the real economic problem, though Trump has attempted to tie them together in his rhetoric.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>The number of Americans killed in terrorist acts &#8211; 9\/11 included \u2013 pales in comparison to the number of Americans who die each year because they cannot afford medical care, or who commit suicide because they cannot see hope in their futures after struggling for years without getting ahead or even getting out of debt.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0\u00a0 <\/span>The only long-term solution to Islamic terrorism is to cease our interventions in the Middle East for a generation or so while maintaining vigilance against radicalized individuals.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>This can be done without alienating Muslims, the vast majority of whom are peaceful, compassionate individuals.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>Indeed, the more we as a society accept Islam, the less likely Muslim youth will be to become radicalized, and the more likely the Muslim community will report budding terrorists within their ranks.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">All of the right solutions begin with a simple premise.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>In a zero-sum game, there is a loser for every winner.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>Thus in order to stop the immiseration of the lower and middle classes, we must stop the enrichment of the upper class.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>That alone will not be enough, however, as the current economic status of the majority of Americans is tenuous at best.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>To really bring wealth back to the working class, we must \u2013 gasp \u2013 be willing to reduce the wealth of the upper classes.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>That means lower returns for stockholders, lower bonuses for CEOs, and lower pay for hospital and university administrators.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">There are ways to accomplish this that would seem anti-capitalist \u2013 capping incomes, say, or imposing government limits on bonuses and profits.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>There are also ways that would work within a free-market system.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>As an example, an aspiring doctor must now obtain a lengthy education incurring deep debt, then seek employment with an accredited hospital system that negotiates arbitrary and ever-increasing rates with very little transparency or public accounting.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>A president could offer debt relief to young doctors who set up a private practice with affordable rates.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>Or intellectual property laws could be changed such that pharmaceutical patents expire sooner, encouraging competition.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>Or anti-trust laws could be enforced to break up mega-corporations formed from endless mergers, encouraging greater competition and lower prices.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>Any number of solutions are possible, and I really don\u2019t know which would be the best.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>That is a matter for public discourse and debate.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span><\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">From what I\u2019ve seen so far of the Trump administration, I don\u2019t expect to see any such discussion.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>Goldman Sachs is one of the world\u2019s largest investment banks, staffed by millionaires who have overseen and benefited from increasing inequality.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>Bill Clinton chose a former Goldman Sachs executive as his treasury secretary.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>So did George W. Bush.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>Obama picked his chief of staff from the company.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>So far, Trump\u2019s chief strategist, Stephen Bannon, is a Goldman Sachs alumnus, and another former company executive is one of two finalists for his treasury secretary.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>Trump may be proselytizing to the proletariat about better lives, but he follows in the footsteps of his predecessors on both sides of the aisle when it comes to endorsing the financial system that will continue to enrich the wealthy at the expense of everyone else.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>(To be fair, I expected the same financial policy from Hillary, albeit without the scapegoating and hatemongering.)<\/p>\n<p class=\"MsoNormal\">This could be a long four years, and I fear for those who have been scapegoated by Trump and his supporters, in their wrongheaded hope for a better future.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>My only solace is that perhaps we, as a nation, will see through his empty promises and misdirected anger during that time.<span style=\"mso-spacerun: yes;\">\u00a0 <\/span>Perhaps next time we choose a leader, we will find someone who offers real solutions, who is willing to go against the interests of big corporations, big banks, and wealthy investors and offer solutions that work within a steady-state economy to increase equality and promote financial security for members of all classes.<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>&nbsp; I am still struggling to come to terms with Trump\u2019s election last week.\u00a0 There is a part of me that would like to at least give him a chance to break the economic and political status quo, having been &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.luterra.com\/blog\/?p=824\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[1],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.luterra.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/824"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.luterra.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.luterra.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.luterra.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.luterra.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=824"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.luterra.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/824\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":826,"href":"https:\/\/www.luterra.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/824\/revisions\/826"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.luterra.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=824"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.luterra.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=824"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.luterra.com\/blog\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=824"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}