Monthly Archives: April 2020

Models are wrong, reality is messy, and the truth is in the middle…

It’s been two weeks since my last writing on COVID-19. At that time, I predicted that based on looking at trends in Italy and other European countries, the number of new cases would stop rising in the next seven days. … Continue reading

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COVID-19: Captain Picard, wherefore art thou?

I feel called to write during this time; I hope that my perspectives are helpful. Please feel free to share with others. Where are we at on the curve? Reported cases of COVID-19 continue to increase in the United States, … Continue reading

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It’s time to stop looking at exponential graphs (and start testing!)

As someone who makes a hobby of tracking trends and weather, I’ve been following the Covid-19 pandemic across multiple states and countries, and it seems to me like the media and even many of the “experts” have the narrative wrong … Continue reading

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